Roy Morgan poll early June 2011
June 21, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 897, of whom 816 have a party preference
Dates: 30 May to 12 June 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (+4.0%)
- Labour 30.0% (-6.0%)
- Green 7.0% (+0.5%)
- ACT 3.0% (+1.5%)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.5)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 2.5% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 37
- Green 9
- ACT 4
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 4 + United Future 1 = 70/121 – 9 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Greens 9 + Mana 1 = 57/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 55.5% (+0.5%)
- Wrong 29.5% (+1.5%)
- Can’t Say 15.0% (-2.0%)