Native Affairs Baseline Te Tai Tokerau Poll June 2011

Polling Company: Baseline

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 508, of whom 439 have a party preference

Dates: 2 June to 9 June 2011

Client: Native Affairs, Maori TV

Report: Not online

By-Election Vote

• Harawira, Mana – 41%
• Davis, Labour – 40%
• Tipene, Maori – 15%

Party Support

• National 10%
• Labour 36%
• Green 6.%
• ACT 0%
• Maori 25%
• NZ First 2%
• Mana 21%

Coalition Partner (for those who chose Maori or Mana)

• National 28%
• Labour 57%

Desired Relationship of Electorate MP to main governing party

• Work alongside 73%
• Work separate to 16%

Was by-election justified?

• Yes 445
• No 56%

Candidate Impressions

• Can be trusted – Davis 50% Harawira 38%
• Deliver on promises – Davis 35% Harawira 38%
• Knows local needs – Davis 43% Harawira 57%
• Politically experienced – Davis 39% Harawira 54%
• Capable leader – Davis 44% Harawira 43%
• Good in a crisis – Davis 43% Harawira 37%
• Lots of personality – Davis 26% Harawira 66%