Roy Morgan Poll early May 2011
May 29, 2011
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 858, of whom 794 have a party preference
Dates: 02 May to 15 May 2011
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 53.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 28.0% (-3.0%)
- Green 10.0% (+2.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (+1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 3.0% (-1.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 66
- Labour 35
- Green 12
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, Mana and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 66 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 70/122 – 8 more than the minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 35 + Greens 12 + Mana 1 = 48/122 – 14 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 56.5% (+3.0%)
- Wrong 30.0% (-4.5%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (+1.5%)