One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2011
May 29, 2011
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: Around 1,000
Dates: to 21 to 25 May 2011
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 52.0% (+1.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 6.0% (-2.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+1.2%)
- Maori 1.4% (-0.9%)
- United Future ?
- Mana 0.9%
- NZ First 1.6% (-2.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 42
- Green 7
- ACT 3
- Maori 4
- United Future 1
- Mana 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning four electorate seats, ACT, United Future and Mana one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 65 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 42 + Greens 7 + Mana 1= 50/123 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Preferred PM
- John Key 53% (-2%)
- Phil Goff 8% (-3%)
Economic Outlook
- Better 48% (+10%)
- Worse 33% (-12%)
Budget
- 4% feel better off, 62% the same and 29% worse off
- 42% support KiwiSaver changes, 50% opposed
- 31% say Budget will improve economy, 41% no change and 20% will be negative for economy
Racism
- 21% say NZ has a great deal of racism
- 55% say some racism
- 20% say only a little racism
- 3% say no racism
Maori Rights
- 45% say Maori have more rights than other New Zealanders
- 48% say the same rights
- 6% say less rights