Roy Morgan poll mid October 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 924, of whom 859 have a party preference

Dates: 04 October to 17 October 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 52.5% (+3.0%)
• Labour 33.0% (-3.5%)
• Green 8.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 0.5% (nc)
• Maori 1.5% (-1.0%)
• United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Progressive 0.0% (nc)
• NZ First 2.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 65
• Labour 41
• Green 10
• ACT 1
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/123 – five more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 10 = 51/123 – 11 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 60.5% (-1.0%)
• Wrong 24.0% (+2.0%)
• Can’t Say 15.5% (-1.0%)