Roy Morgan Poll late September 2010
October 16, 2010
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 820, of whom 750 have a party preference
Dates: 20 September to 03 October 2010
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 49.5% (=1.0%)
- Labour 36.5% (+2.5%)
- Green 8.0% (nc)
- ACT 0.5% (-1.5%)
- Maori 2.5% (+1.0%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.5% (-2.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 60
- Labour 45
- Green 10
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 60 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 62/122 – the exact minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 45 + Greens 10 = 55/124 – 7 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 61.5% (+3.5%)
- Wrong 22.0% (-6.0%)
- Can’t Say 16.5% (+2.5%)