Roy Morgan Poll mid August 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 898, of whom 835 have a party preference

Dates: 02 August to 15 August 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 50.0% (-1.0%)
• Labour 33.5% (nc)
• Green 7.5% (+1.0%)
• ACT 1.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 3.0% (-0.5%)
• United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 3.5% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 62
• Labour 42
• Green 9
• ACT 2
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 62 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 9 = 51/121 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 58.5% (+1.0%)
• Wrong 27.5% (-0.5%)
• Can’t Say 14.0% (-0.5%)