Roy Morgan Poll late August 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 893, of whom 835 have a party preference

Dates: 16 August to 29 August 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 49.5% (-0.5%)
• Labour 32.5% (-1.0%)
• Green 8.5% (+1.0%)
• ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
• Maori 3.0% (nc)
• United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Progressive 0.0% (nc)
• NZ First 3.5% (nc)

Projected Seats

• National 62
• Labour 41
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 11 = 52/121 – 9 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 55.0% (-3.5%)
• Wrong 28.0% (+0.5%)
• Can’t Say 17.0% (+3.0%)