One News Colmar Brunton Poll September 2010

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: Around 1,000

Dates: Estimated 18 September to 23 September 2010

Client: One News

Report: TVNZ

Party Support

• National 54.0% (+5.0%)
• Labour 32.0% (-3.0%)
• Green 8.0% (+1.0%)
• ACT 1.1% (-1.6%)
• Maori 2.3% (nc)
• United Future
• Progressive
• NZ First 2.4% (+0.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 67
• Labour 39
• Green 10
• ACT 1
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 67 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 69/123 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 39 + Greens 10 = 49/123 -13 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM