Roy Morgan Poll mid July 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 912, of whom 839 have a party preference

Dates: 05 July to 18 July 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 49.0% (-4.0%)
• Labour 31.5% (+2.5%)
• Green 9.0% (+0.5%)
• ACT 2.0% (nc)
• Maori 3.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• Progressive 0.5% (+0.5)
• NZ First 4.5% (+1.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 61
• Labour 40
• Green 11
• ACT 3
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 4 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 40 + Greens 11 = 51/121 – 10 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 58.0% (-7.0%)
• Wrong 27.5% (+6.5%)
• Can’t Say 14.5% (+0.5%)