Roy Morgan Poll late July 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 912, of whom 839 have a party preference

Dates: 19 July to 01 August 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 51.0% (+2.0%)
• Labour 33.5% (+2.0%)
• Green 6.5% (-2.5%)
• ACT 2.0% (nc)
• Maori 3.5% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• Progressive 0.5% (nc)
• NZ First 2.0% (-2.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 63
• Labour 42
• Green 8
• ACT 2
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT and United Future one each, and Labour winning Wigram.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 63 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 66/121 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Greens 8 = 50/121 – 11 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 58.0% (-7.0%)
• Wrong 27.5% (+6.5%)
• Can’t Say 14.5% (+0.5%)