One News Colmar Brunton Poll August 2010
August 16, 2010
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,011 adults, 864 of whom had a party vote preference
Dates: 31 July to 04 August 2010
Client: One News
Report: Colmar Brunton
Party Support
- National 49.0% (nc)
- Labour 35.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (nc)
- ACT 2.7% (+1.1%)
- Maori 2.3% (-1.3%)
- United Future 0.4% (-0.1%)
Progressive 0.1% (-0.4%) - NZ First 2.3% (+1.0%)
Projected Seats
- National 61
- Labour 44
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 123
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 61 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 65/121 – 3 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 44 + Greens 9 = 53/121 -9 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 55% economy over next 12 months will be better (-1.0%)
- 19% same (+1.0%)
- 25% worse (-1.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 45% (-1.0%)
- Phil Goff 9% (+3%)
- Helen Clark 3% (nc)
Drink Drive Limit
- 64% say Govt should have lowered to 0.05
- 34% say should not have lowered
Extending 90 day trial periods
- 60% support extending to all employers
- 36% opposed
Chris Carter
- 58% say he should resign from Parliament
- 33% say he should not
Phil Goff
- 24% say he can win the next election
- 65% say he can not, including 39% of Labour voters