Roy Morgan Poll late May 2010

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 902, of whom 852 have a party preference

Dates: 17 May to 30 May 2010

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 52.5% (-4.0%)
• Labour 30.0% (-3.5%)
• Green 9.5% (+0.5%)
• ACT 1.0% (-1.5%)
• Maori 3.5% (+1.0%)
• United Future 0.5% (nc)
• Progressive 0.5% (nc)
• NZ First 2.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 65
• Labour 37
• Green 12
• ACT 1
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 0
• NZ First 0
• Total 121

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 65 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 67/121 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 37 + Greens 12 = 49/121 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 63.5% (+4.0%)
• Wrong 26.0% (-2.5%)
• Can’t Say 10.5% (-1.5%)