One News Colmar Brunton Poll May 2010
May 30, 2010
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,009 adults, 843 of whom had a party vote preference
Dates: 22 to 26 May 2010
Client: One News
Report: TVNZ
Party Support
- National 49.0% (-5.0%)
- Labour 33.0% (nc)
- Green 7.0% (+2.3%)
- ACT 2.2% (-1.0%)
- Maori 3.6% (+1.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (+0.3%)
Progressive 0.5% (+0.3%) - NZ First 1.3% (-0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 41
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 0
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats, ACT, United Future one seat each and Labour winning Wigram.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 66/121 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 41 + Greens 9 = 50/121 -11 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 56% economy over next 12 months will be better (-9.0%)
- 18% same (+2.0%)
- 26% worse (+7.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 46% (-2.0%)
- Phil Goff 6% (-2%)
- Helen Clark not yet known
2010 Budget
- 37% say makes them better off, 53% say it does not
- 61% say budget good for economy, 25% disagree
- 50% say it was fair, and 41% disagree
Drinking Age
- 74% want 20 and 24% 18