Roy Morgan mid November 2009

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 876 (3.3% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 02 November to 15 November 2009

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan Website

Party Support

• National 51.5% (-4.0%)
• Labour 33.0% (+4.0%)
• Green 6.5% (-1.0%)
• ACT 2.5% (+1.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
• United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 2.5% (+1.0%)

Projected Seats

• National 64
• Labour 41
• Green 8
• ACT 3
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• Progressive 1
• NZ First 0
• Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 64 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 68/123 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 50/123 – 12 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Country Direction

• Right 64.5% (-2.0%)
• Wrong 22.5% (+2.0%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (nc)