NZ Herald Digipoll October 2009

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 respondents (3.6% maximum margin of error)

Dates: 15 October to 28 October 2009

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald pdf

Party Support

• National 57.3% (+9.4%)
• Labour 32.4% (-4.0%)
• Green 4.6% (-1.2%)
• NZ First 0.9% (-3.0%)
• Maori 2.8% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (-0.7%)
• ACT 0.9% (-0.9%)
• Progressive 0.1% (-0.1%)

Projected Seats

• National 73
• Labour 42
• Green 0
• NZ First 0
• Maori 5
• United Future 1
• ACT 1
• Progressive 1
• Total 123

This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 73 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 75/123 – 13 more than minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 42 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 43/123 -19 less than minimum needed to govern

The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.

Preferred PM

• Key 55.3% (+9.1%)
• Clark 10.6% (-31.0%)
• Goff 6.2% (+6.2%)
• Peters 2.1% (-2.9%)

Job Approval

• Bill English 60.8% good or better, 31.9% not good or poor
• Phil Goff 41.3% good or better, 42.0% not good or poor

• Right 61.2%
• Wrong 27.5%

• 77.6% say good or better
• 20.3% not very good or poor

• 28.7% better off
• 32.6% no change
• 37.1% worse off

• Bill English 16.2%
• Paula Bennett 5.5%
• Judith Collins 3.1%
• Tony Ryall 2.4%
• Nick Smith 2.4%
• Simon Power 2.0%

Note this question appears to be unprompted, and name recognition appears to be a major factor.