One News Colmar Brunton Poll July 2009
August 2, 2009
Polling Company: Colmar Brunton
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,001 adults, of whom 850 are decided
Dates: 25 July to 29 July 2009
Client: One News
Party Support
- National 56.0% (-1.0%)
- Labour 31.0% (nc)
- Green 7.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 3.1% (+0.9%)
- United Future not reported yet
- Progressive not reported yet
- NZ First 1.6%
Projected Seats
- National 69
- Labour 37
- Green 8
- ACT 1
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 69 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 71/122 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 8 = 46/122 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Economic Outlook
- 60% economy over next 12 months will be better (+18.0%)
- 18% same (-1.0%)
- 22% worse (-17.0%)
Preferred PM
- John Key 51% (nc)
- Phil Goff 7% (+1%)
- Helen Clark 3% (-6%)