UMR poll on Auckland Mayor

UMR polled 482 Aucklanders as part of two omnibus surveys of 1,500 NZers in June and July 2009. The maximum margin of error at 95% confidence is 4.5%.

Questions were asked on possible two-way clashes for the Auckland Mayoralty.

John Banks vs Mike Lee has 35% Banks, 18% Lee, 22% unsure and 25% don’t know enough.

John Banks vs Len Brown has 34% Banks, 35% Brown, 14% unsure and 17% don’t know enough.

The demographic breakdowns have high margins of error. But the margins between Banks and Brown are:

• Men +5% (Banks 5% ahead of Brown)
• Women -6%
• South Auckland -23%
• Central Auckland +1%
• East Auckland +0%
• West Auckland +5%
• North Shore +8%
• Under 30s +16%
• 30 – 44 yrs +1%
• 45 – 59 yrs -15%
• 60+ yrs -8%
• Under $30K pers income -1%
• $30 to $50k +18%
• Over $50k -7%