Roy Morgan mid June 2009 poll
July 20, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 868 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 01 June to 14 June 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 52.0% (nc)
- Labour 33.0% (+2.0%)
- Green 7.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.5% (+0.5)
- Maori 2.5% (-0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.0% (-0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 63
- Labour 40
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 122
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 63 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 67/122 – 5 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 40 + Progressive 1 + Greens 0 = 50/122 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 69.0% (+3.5%)
- Wrong 18.5% (-1.5%)
- Can’t Say 12.5% (-2.0%