Roy Morgan Poll early June 2009
June 6, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 866 (3.4% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 18 May to 31 May 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 52.0% (nc)
- Labour 31.0% (-0.5%)
- Green 8.5% (-1.0%)
- ACT 2.0% (nc)
- Maori 3.0% (+0.5%)
- United Future 0.5% (nc)
- Progressive 0.5% (nc)
- NZ First 1.5% (+0.5%)
Projected Seats
- National 64
- Labour 38
- Green 10
- ACT 2
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 64 + ACT 2 + United Future 1 = 67/121 – 6 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 38 + Progressive 1 + Greens 10 = 49/121 -12 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 65.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 20.0% (+0.5%)
- Can’t Say 14.5% (+1.5%