Roy Morgan Poll early May 2009
May 9, 2009
Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 896 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 20 April to 03 May 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 55.0% (+5.0%)
- Labour 30.5% (-2.0%)
- Green 7.0% (-1.5%)
- ACT 2.0% (-0.5%)
- Maori 2.0% (-1.5%)
- United Future 0.0% (-0.5%)
- Progressive 0.5% (+0.5%)
- NZ First 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 38
- Green 9
- ACT 3
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 68 + ACT 3 + United Future 1 = 72/124 – 9 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 37 + Progressive 1 + Greens 9 = 47/124 -16 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 66.5% (-2.0%)
- Wrong 20.0% (+3.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.5% (-1.0%