Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 910 (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 23 March to 05 April 2009
Client: Self Published
Report: Roy Morgan Website
Party Support
- National 49.5% (-5.0%)
- Labour 29.0% (nc)
- Green 9.0% (+1.0%)
- ACT 4.0% (+1.5%)
- Maori 4.0% (+2.0%)
- United Future 1.0% (+0.5%)
- Progressive 0.0% (-0.5%)
- NZ First 2.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 62
- Labour 36
- Green 11
- ACT 5
- Maori 5
- United Future 1
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Total 121
This is based on Maori Party winning five electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- CR – National 62 + ACT 5 + United Future 1 = 68/121 – 7 more than minimum needed to govern
- CL – Labour 36 + Progressive 1 + Greens 11 = 48/121 -13 less than minimum needed to govern
The Maori Party is not shown as part of the centre-right or centre-left.
Country Direction
- Right 65.0% (-2.5%)
- Wrong 22.0% (+2.0%)
- Can’t Say 13.0% (+0.5%)