Polling Company: DigiPoll
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 700 respondents, (3.8% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 15 September to 24 September 2008
Client: NZ Herald
Report: NZ Herald main story and breakdowns here and graphs here.
Party Support
- National 51.4% (+1.4%)
- Labour 35.7% (-0.6%)
- Green 4.9% (-0.2%)
- NZ First 2.8% (+0.7%)
- Maori 2.8% (-0.3%)
- United Future 0.4% (+0.4%)
- ACT 1.1% (-1.2%)
- Progressive 0.4% (+0.4%)
Projected Seats
- National 68
- Labour 47
- Green 0
- NZ First 0
- Maori 6
- United Future 1
- ACT 1
- Total 124
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Coalition Options
- National 68/124 – majority possible
- Labour 47 + Progressive 1 + Maori 6 + United Future 1 = 55/124 = no majority possible
The easiest option for both National and Labour to get a majority of at least 63 is shown. It is assumed ACT would only go with National and Progressive and NZ First only go with Labour. For National next options after ACT, in order of ease, are United Future, Maori Party, and Greens. For Labour next options after Progressive and NZ First in order of ease are Greens, Maori Party and United Future.
Preferred PM
