Polling Company: Nielsen
Poll Method: Random Phone
Poll Size: 1,049 total voters, 913 decided voters (3.3% maximum margin of error)
Dates: 9 to 15 July 2008
Client: Fairfax Media
Party Support
- National 51.0% (-3.0%)
- Labour 35.0% (+5.0%)
- Progressive 0.0% (nc)
- NZ First 4.0% (+1.0%)
- Green 5.0% (-2.0%)
- United Future 0.0% (-1.0%)
- Maori 2.0% (nc)
- ACT 1.0% (nc)
Projected Seats
- National 65
- Labour 45
- Progressive 1
- NZ First 0
- Green 6
- United Future 1
- Maori 6
- ACT 1
- Total 125
This is based on Maori Party winning six electorate seats and ACT, United Future and Progressive one each.
Preferred PM
- Key 39.0% (-4.0%)
- Clark 32.0 (+2.0%)
- Peters 3.0% (+1.0%)
Leader Strengths
- Better in a crisis – Clark 53%, Key 34%
- Better on world stage – Clark higher
- Better on law and order – Key 49%, Clark 37%
- More capabale at managing economy – Key 49%, Clark 38%
- Strong – Clark 70%, Key 41%
- Honest – both at 40%