One News Colmar Brunton poll early September 2017

Polling Company: Colmar Brunton

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 1,000 voters of whom around 800 have a party vote preference

Undecideds:

Dates: 2 September to 6 September 2017

Client: One News

Report: Colmar Brunton

Party Support

• National 39.0% (-2.0%)
• Labour 43.0% (nc)
• Green 5.0% (nc)
• NZ First 9.0% (+1.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
• ACT 0.1%
• Opportunities 1.9% (+0.9%)

Projected Seats

• National 48
• Labour 53
• Green 6
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• NZ First 11
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats except Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Haururu to Maori Party.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 48 + ACT 1 = 49/121 – 12 fewer the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 53 + Greens 6 = 59/121 – two fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

Possible Governments are:

National/Maori/NZ First 61 seats
Labour/NZ First 64 seats
Labour/Greens/Maori 61 seats

Preferred PM

• Bill English 31.0% (-2%)
• Jacinda Ardern 35% (+1%)
• Winston Peters 5% (+1%)