Newshub Reid Research poll July 2017

Polling Company: Reid Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone 750 and Internet Panel 250

Poll Size: 1,000

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates:  June 2017

Client: Newshub

Report: Newshub

Party Support

• National 45.2% (-2.2%)
• Labour 24.1% (-2.3%)
• Green 13.0% (+0.5%)
• NZ First 13.0% (+3.6%)
• Maori 1.2% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.2% (-0.1%)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.4%)
• Mana 0.0% (nc)
• Opportunities 2.0% (+1.2%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 30
• Green 16
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 16
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 30 + Greens 16 = 46/121 – 15 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 16 + Maori 1 = 17/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Preferred PM

• Bill English 25.8% (-0.4%)
• Andrew Little 7.1% (+0.1%)
• Winston Peters 11.9% (+2.2%)
• Jacinda Ardern 8.7% (+2.1%)

Leader Approval

• Bill English – 50.6% (-8.6%) well and 24.2% (+7.5%) poorly for a net +26.4% (-16.1%)
• Andrew Little – 29.6% (-4.7%) well and 46.1% (+5.4%) poorly for a net -16.5% (-11.1%)