Roy Morgan poll September 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 864 of whom 812 have a party preference

Undecideds: 6.0%

Dates: early August to 18 September 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 41.5% (-4.5%)
• Labour 33.5% (+8.0%)
• Green 12.0% (-2.5%)
• NZ First 8.5% (-1.0%)
• Maori 2.0% (+0.5%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (nc)
• Mana/Internet 0.0% (-0.5)
• Conservative 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 51
• Labour 41
• Green 15
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 10
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 51 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 53/121 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 41 + Greens 15 = 56/121 – five fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 10 + Maori 2 = 14/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 52.0% (-6.0%)
• Wrong 35.0% (+4.5%)
• Can’t Say 13.0% (+1.5%)