Roy Morgan poll June 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 868 of whom 820 have a party preference

Undecideds: 5.5%

Dates: early June to 12 June 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 43.0% (-2.5%)
• Labour 28.0% (-1.5%)
• Green 14.5% (+2.5%)
• NZ First 9.0% (-0.5%)
• Maori 2.0% (+1.0%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.5% (-0.5%)
• Mana/Internet 1.0% (+1.0%)
• Conservative 1.0% (+0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 53
• Labour 35
• Green 18
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 11
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 53 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 55/121 – six fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 35 + Greens 18 = 53/121 – eight fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 2 = 13/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 54.5% (-4.5%)
• Wrong 34.0% (+5.0%)
• Can’t Say 11.5% (-0.5%)