Roy Morgan Poll March 2016

Polling Company: Roy Morgan Research

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: No

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 861 of whom 792 have a party preference

Undecideds: 8.0%

Dates: early March to 13 March 2016

Client: Self Published

Report: Roy Morgan

Party Support

• National 46.0% (-2.5%)
• Labour 28.0% (+1.0%)
• Green 14.0% (-0.5%)
• NZ First 9.0% (+3.0%)
• Maori 1.0% (nc)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 1.0% (+0.5%)
• Mana/Internet 0.5% (nc)
• Conservative 0.5% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 56
• Labour 34
• Green 17
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 11
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 56 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 58/121 – three fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 34 + Greens 17 = 51/121 – 10 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 11 + Maori 1 = 12/121

On this poll NZ First would hold the balance of power.

Country Direction

• Right 56.5% (-3.0%)
• Wrong 28.5% (+0.5%)
• Can’t Say 15.0% (+2.5%)