Herald DigiPoll December 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subsciber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750

Undecideds: Unknown

Dates: 04 to 14 December 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 51.3% (+0.5%)
• Labour 31.1% (+0.1%)
• Green 8.2% (-1.0%)
• NZ First 5.7% (-1.2%)
• Maori 2.1% (+1.9%)
• United Future 0.3% (+0.3%)
• ACT 0.8% (+0.6%)
• Mana 0.0% (-0.2%)
• Conservative 0.0% (-0.6%)

Projected Seats

• National 62
• Labour 37
• Green 10
• ACT 1
• Maori 2
• United Future 1
• NZ First 7
• Total 121

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/121 – three more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 37 + Greens 10 = 47/121 – 14 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 7 + Maori 2 = 9/121

On this poll National could govern alone.

Preferred PM

• John Key 65.2% (+1.5%)
• Andrew Little 16.2% (+2.9%)
• Winston Peters 7.9% (-3.7%)
• Jacinda Ardern 2.8% (-1.1%)

TPP

• 27% support (+5%)
• 26% oppose (-6%)
• 46% no view (nc)

Iraq

• Support deployment 63% (+4%)
• Oppose deployment 30% (-4%)

Obesity

• 53% say school tuck shops should ban unhealthy food
• 44% disagree

US Ship Visits

• 50% say a US visit would be positive
• 29% don’t want a visit
• 16% say a visit would be a triumph for NZ nuclear free policy