NZ Herald DigiPoll August 2015

Polling Company: DigiPoll

Subscriber to NZ Political Polling Code: Yes

Poll Method: Random Phone

Poll Size: 750 of whom 660 have a party preference

Undecideds: 12%

Dates: 14 August to 24 August 2015

Client: NZ Herald

Report: NZ Herald

Party Support

• National 50.8% (-0.2%)
• Labour 31.0% (+2.3%)
• Green 9.2% (-1.6%)
• NZ First 6.9% (+0.8%)
• Maori 0.2% (-0.6%)
• United Future 0.0% (nc)
• ACT 0.2% (-0.6%)
• Mana/Internet 0.2% (+0.2%)
• Conservative 0.6% (-0.5%)

Projected Seats

• National 62
• Labour 38
• Green 11
• ACT 1
• Maori 1
• United Future 1
• NZ First 8
• Total 122

This is based on no change in electorate seats.

Coalition Options

• CR – National 62 + ACT 1 + United Future 1 = 64/122 – two more than the minimum needed to govern
• CL – Labour 38 + Greens 11 = 49/122 – 13 fewer than the minimum needed to govern
• C – NZ First 8 + Maori 1 = 9/122

On this poll National would be able to govern alone.

Preferred PM

• John Key 63.7% (-0.9%)
• Andrew Little 13.3% (-0.6%)
• Winston Peters 11.6% (-0.4%)
• Jacinda Ardern 3.9% (+3.4%)

Country Direction

• Right 50.9% (-4.4%)
• Wrong 40.9% (+4.9%)

Next National Leader

• Bill English 30.3%
• Steven Joyce 14.2%
• Paula Bennett 11.4%
• Simon Bridges 7.2%

Next Labour Leader

• Annette King 21.8%
• Jacinda Ardern 20.1%
• Grant Robertson 18.0%
• Phil Twyford 4.0%

Private Prisons

• 57% say prisons should always be run by the state
• 38% say there is a place for well-run private companies operating prisons.

Foreign House Buyers

• 32% support a ban on foreigners buying houses
• 20% oppose a ban
• 42% would support a ban if there is evidence foreign buyers are pushing prices up

NZ Flag

• 53% against change in principle
• 23% support change in principle
• 24% depends on alternative designs

TPP

• 30% oppose TPP
• 20% support TPP
• 45% not know enough to have a view

Iraq

• 59% support the deployment of troops to do training (+2%)
• 34% oppose